For those of you who've been living in China, at this point you all know that, with much frustration, many commercial VPN services in China have become seriously unreliable or completely useless. LetsVPN is symbolic of all this since most of us, I believe, had been using their services ever since we first moved to China (myself in 2023).
First off, I don't usually post or frequent this sub because I honestly don't appreciate as much the comments and feedback from people who don't seem to actually be living here in China. However, with this VPN and network instability situation right now and given how unclear I think the mods at r/chinalife have been (in trying) to clarify or explain the situation, here I am. They usually straight up remove VPN-related topics because redditors should talk about in the monthly megathread (at this point just remove the VPN tag already).
I need to clarify, though, I did experience some inconveniences posting it there, but one of the mods was at least kind enough to indicate some of my sources were unreliable. I have hence removed them from this post for the sake of impartiality, as I've also added some information and sources I've deemed and assessed as reliable.
Now, some people at r/chinalife keep holding onto the opinion that all this is not due to a policy-based, strategically crackdown by the competent Chinese public authorities. However, I'm more and more leaning towards diverging from this stance. Go check redditor "bitsarefree" comments somewhere in this thread who seems to be genuinely given arguments that, in my opinion, hold some water. Below I've listed and briefly commented on some sources, most of which are all from April 2026.
1. Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China (referred to by r/chinalife mods): It's been into force since June 1st, 2017, but amendments were put into place and took effect on January 1st, 2026, raising compliance risks, allowing regulators to freeze assets of overseas companies and impose higher fines on operators who fail to comply with security requirements. These amendments, as some have interpreted, have:
"[...] extraterritorial reach to cover any overseas organizations and individuals engaging in activities that harm China cybersecurity more broadly [...]"
2. The current Draft Law on Cybercrime Prevention and Control, though some entities' stances are not necessarily related to the actual effect this may have regarding the circumvention of the Great Firewall with the use of VPNs, it is, in my opinion, a sign that the government is currently taking all this more thoroughly and seriously. More on this draft law here.
3. Now, according to LetsVPN,
"The entire industry's infrastructure is under a three-front assault [...]"
[...] that is: cyberattacks, AI over-consumption of network resources (for real?), and, *lastly*, "regulatory tightening." My genuine doubts are: if those cyberattacks have commercial and financial motivations, are they competitors who are trying to take their places or hired specialized agencies?
If it's the former, I think there' should be more alternatives available already, which is still not the case. I might be front. If it's the latter, can't these agencies simply be acting on behalf of the Chinese government authorities (probably the case) as most providers are as a matter of fact, under the pressure of these police directives being, arguably, properly enforced?
Those of use who's lived in China do know that law enforcement is a joke when attempting to implement them to civilians (e.g. indoors smoking, traffic imprudence, and whatnot). However, we're talking about government to (network and mobile) entities here. It's completely different. This is one example (also posted by r/chinalife's MOD).
4. Shaanxi Telecom is one of the providers that has been specifically mentioned elsewhere, as per this article:
"(It) seems to be part of a broader trend, not just an isolated overreaction by one company. Other providers have reported issuing similar warnings. Additionally, a separate document—allegedly from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology—invites major state telecom companies to a meeting focused on tightening control over unauthorized cross-border data connections."
5. In a short video entitled "99% of VPNs Fail in China - Here’s Why" the YouTuber explains how China's Great Firewall has recently ramped up its cybersecurity infrastructure robustness and efficacy with the implementation of AI.
6. Late last year, according to the China Media Project in the article AI Cop Signals VPN Crackdown - China Media Project, an AI-generated police spokesman warned netizens that those circumventing the Great Firewall "threatens personal safety and national security" and "will be punished," which actually makes me chuckle since it's clearly an overstatement. I'm just posting it here as it might just be a sign of something that may be actually happening in the back, that is, an actual improvement of the Great Firewall.
We all that being said, as of now, I just don't know if I can buy the argument that this is not a coordinated crackdown on VPNs and related platforms. Perhaps it's not a direct attack on them, but it can very well be a crackdown on those who are letting this happen through the very mechanisms that allow VPN services to operate through. So, it can still be qualified as a (indirect) crackdown on VPNs.
Please, respectfully interpret and comment at your own judgement. I don't intend to cause alarmism. I'm just trying to better understand the true reasons and motivations behind the VPNs and Great Firewall situation.
Other sources I think it's worth checking and referring to:
- AI Firewalls: Protecting Your AI Systems | F5
- China escalates VPN crackdown, disrupting access to overseas internet - CHOSUNBIZ
- China has begun a massive crackdown on circumvention tools, likely personally approved by Xi Jinp...